Joe Biden had a big smile on his face yesterday as he looked at the new electric vehicles rolling off the assembly line. Biden always smiles when it comes to American cars, but he should also smile because things are looking up, including his approval ratings.
It was terribly bleak that summer when, fair or not, Americans couldn’t drive three blocks without being constantly reminded that life was far more expensive and therefore harder. It was July, Biden had yet to sign the Reconciliation Act, which included a massive block of the Build Back Better plan. His approval rating was 36% with midterms just four months away.
Now the gas price has fallen every day since mid-summer. Biden won his once-in-a-generation legislature victory at Build Back Better, he took off his gloves fighting for democracy, stole “Brandon” from Republicans when he became “Dark Brandon,” he is fighting for women at risk and LGBTQ Groups , Trump is on the run, all of which contributes to a Biden approval rating that has skyrocketed nine points at 45% approval.
The midterms are in two months. Anything can happen, but if trend is your friend, going into Election Day with 50% approval or more would be awesome.
From the AP:
President Joe Biden’s popularity has improved significantly since his trough this summer, but concerns remain about his handling of the economy, according to a poll by the Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research.
Support for Biden rebounded to 45% from a low of 36% in July, in large part due to a rebound in support from the Democrats just two months before the November midterm elections.
Undoubtedly, the economy and inflation are big issues this fall, but it’s not as dominant an issue as Republicans would like it to be, not when women’s and LGBTQ rights are at stake. And in a sign that bodes well for democracy, Democrats and Joe Biden, a recent poll in late August showed the threat to democracy was the biggest concern in the midterm elections.
This is all good news for Democrats. Republicans continue to increasingly nominate extreme abstainers, and Republican extremism has taken root in the form of the Dobbs decision, showing how insane some of the Red States’ laws can be when unleashed. In such an environment, there will be somewhere between 60% and 66% of Americans in general who prefer adults in government and therefore will inevitably have to vote democratically.
The worse Trump looks, the more that “mad Trump” makes headlines, the more likely Biden’s poll numbers are to rise. We saw the same phenomenon with President Obama, whose approval ratings skyrocketed when the Republican primary focused on Trump and Ted Cruz, and Obama left office with a 59% approval rating while Trump took office with just 45% . Trump, as the head of all “Republicans,” dominates the political discourse so much that the same pattern should apply to Biden. If Trump turns out to have more records, or more damning evidence emerges, we’ll likely see Biden and Democrat support rise.
And that’s exactly how you want to lean if you want to retain control of the Senate (increasingly likely) and try to save the House of Representatives (now possible).
@JasonMiciak believes a day without learning is a day not lived. He is a political writer, columnist, author and lawyer. He is a Canadian-born dual citizen who spent his teens and college days in the Pacific Northwest and has since lived in seven states. Today he enjoys life as a single father to a young girl and writes on the beaches of the Gulf Coast. He loves making his flower pots, cooking and is currently studying philosophy of science, religion and non-mathematical principles behind quantum mechanics and cosmology. Please do not hesitate to contact us for lectures or other concerns.